Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.66
Away
37%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.22
Over 2.5
40%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.62
2-3 Goals
45%
2.04
4-5 Goals
16%
10.3
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-9.8pp
32%
Draw
34%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+12.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
78%
-18.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
22%
+18.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.09/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.83
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foolad Khuzestan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zob Ahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
24.05.2024 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
19.12.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
05.05.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 2-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
24.12.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
06.03.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-2 HT 1-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
24.11.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-1 HT 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Foolad Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan squeezed past Zob Ahan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Foolad Khuzestan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foolad Khuzestan and 0.83 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Foolad Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan?

Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foolad Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Foolad Khuzestan 31%, draw 32%, Zob Ahan 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zob Ahan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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