Santa Ana 3-4 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.02/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.97
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Ana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY San Carlos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
11.08.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 5-1 HT 3-1 Santa Ana KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
3-4
AWAY San Carlos
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos edged past Santa Ana 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day San Carlos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Santa Ana had 66% of the ball to San Carlos's 34%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs San Carlos?

Santa Ana 3-4 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 33%, draw 32%, San Carlos 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ BTTS Yes
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