Pahang 0-3 Perak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

Pahang
0-3 HT 0-1
Perak
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Perak EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
2.17/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.17
+81% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses 21.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Perak
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
251 Passes 164
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-0 HT 0-0 Perak Perak MALES
16.03.2023 Perak Perak 0-3 HT 0-2 Pahang Pahang MALES
09.05.2021 Perak Perak 2-3 HT 0-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
10.03.2021 Pahang Pahang 0-2 HT 0-1 Perak Perak MALES
03.10.2020 Pahang Pahang 3-3 HT 3-0 Perak Perak MALES
19.05.2019 Pahang Pahang 0-0 HT 0-0 Perak Perak MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Perak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perak cruised past Pahang 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pahang at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pahang had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pahang and 1.17 for Perak.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Perak?

Pahang 0-3 Perak in the Malaysia - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Perak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pahang win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pahang 44%, draw 21%, Perak 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pahang) ✗ BTTS Yes
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MALES More Malaysia - Super League
28 Sep 2024
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