Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.48/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.90
-60% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Balzan FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
29.01.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
11.09.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2-1
AWAY Balzan FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC nicked a narrow win over Balzan FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Marsaxlokk FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 49% of the ball to Balzan FC's 51%, shots finished 13-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Balzan FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.67 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Balzan FC?

Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 32%, draw 29%, Balzan FC 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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