Petrocub 2-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.36/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.39
-25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Milsami
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
28.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
19.08.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 2-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
22.04.2023 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
06.04.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-1 HT 2-1 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
04.03.2023 Milsami Milsami 0-3 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
2-1
AWAY Milsami
62% Ball Possession 38%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub squeezed past Milsami 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Petrocub as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrocub had 62% of the ball to Milsami's 38%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Petrocub and 0.33 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs Milsami?

Petrocub 2-1 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 44%, draw 30%, Milsami 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrocub) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrocub) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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28 Sep 2024
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