Ikorodu City vs Nasarawa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ikorodu City v Nasarawa United — Team-Based Signals
Ikorodu City 1-2 Nasarawa United — Actual Match Statistics
Nasarawa United squeezed past Ikorodu City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ikorodu City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ikorodu City had 62% of the ball to Nasarawa United's 38%, shots finished 16-16.
What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Nasarawa United?
Ikorodu City 1-2 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Nasarawa United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 48%, draw 29%, Nasarawa United 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.