Flekkeroy 3-0 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.13/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.72
-38% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flekkeroy
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Notodden
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 4-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
22.04.2023 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
11.09.2022 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 1-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
28.05.2022 Notodden Notodden 0-4 HT 0-1 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
05.09.2021 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 1-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
22.08.2021 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-1 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
POST-MATCH Flekkeroy vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flekkeroy ran out comfortable winners over Notodden 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Flekkeroy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flekkeroy had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Flekkeroy and 0.33 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Flekkeroy vs Notodden?

Flekkeroy 3-0 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flekkeroy vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Flekkeroy 35%, draw 28%, Notodden 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Notodden) ✗ BTTS Yes
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