Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 27%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
2.00/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.64
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
17.09.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
22.05.2021 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-0 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
28.11.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
20.06.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-3 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
21.09.2019 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-4 HT 0-3 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec edged past Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 42% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 58%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.50 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 44%, draw 25%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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