28/09/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Çankaya FK vs Efeler 09 Spor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
25%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
36%
51%
Under 2.5
53%
49%
Over 2.5
47%
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
44%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Çankaya FK v Efeler 09 Spor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Çankaya FK
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Efeler 09 Spor
EU Bookmakers 39%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+29% /
+29%
0.51/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.65/0.72
-56%
/
+2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+55%
/
+70%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
322 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
331 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
3.7
Çankaya FK vs Efeler 09 Spor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Çankaya FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Efeler 09 Spor
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
27.11.2022
Çankaya FK
1-1
HT 1-1
Efeler 09 Spor
S3-3
1-1
HT 1-1
Efeler 09 Spor
S3-3
POST-MATCH
Çankaya FK vs Efeler 09 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Çankaya FK edged past Efeler 09 Spor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Çankaya FK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Çankaya FK vs Efeler 09 Spor?
Çankaya FK 2-1 Efeler 09 Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Çankaya FK vs Efeler 09 Spor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Çankaya FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Çankaya FK 41%, draw 25%, Efeler 09 Spor 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çankaya FK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Çankaya FK)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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S3-2
More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
28 Sep 2024