Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 1-1 Turgutluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Turgutluspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.96/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Turgutluspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.04.2013 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S2-K
18.11.2012 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor S2-K
08.04.2012 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor S2-B
27.11.2011 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S2-B
18.11.2009 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor T2-2
16.09.2009 Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor T2-2
POST-MATCH Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor vs Turgutluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor and Turgutluspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor and 0.50 for Turgutluspor.

What was the final score of Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor vs Turgutluspor?

Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 1-1 Turgutluspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor vs Turgutluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor 46%, draw 28%, Turgutluspor 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Büyükçekmece Tepecikspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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