Puchov 1-3 Malzenice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puchov EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Malzenice EU Bookmakers 24%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.79/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.25
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puchov
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Malzenice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Malzenice Malzenice 0-2 HT 0-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
19.08.2023 Puchov Puchov 2-0 HT 2-0 Malzenice Malzenice SLVK2
POST-MATCH Puchov vs Malzenice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malzenice got the better of Puchov 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Puchov at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Puchov had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Puchov and 0.00 for Malzenice.

What was the final score of Puchov vs Malzenice?

Puchov 1-3 Malzenice in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puchov vs Malzenice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puchov win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Puchov 48%, draw 26%, Malzenice 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puchov), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puchov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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