Tolmin 1-2 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 28 Sep 2024

Tolmin
1-2 HT 1-1
Gorica
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

Tolmin vs Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
35%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
14%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tolmin v Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.10/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.61
+35% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +33%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
188 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Tolmin vs Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gorica
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Gorica Gorica 2-3 HT 1-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica squeezed past Tolmin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Gorica?

Tolmin 1-2 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 12%, draw 25%, Gorica 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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