1461 Trabzon FK 1-2 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.82
No
63%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.9pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
231 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-4 HT 0-2 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK T2L-K
05.10.2022 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 1-1 HT 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
1-2
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 1461 Trabzon FK vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor squeezed past 1461 Trabzon FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day GMG Kastamonuspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 1461 Trabzon FK had 51% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 49%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, 1461 Trabzon FK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 1.50 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of 1461 Trabzon FK vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

1461 Trabzon FK 1-2 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1461 Trabzon FK vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split 1461 Trabzon FK 34%, draw 27%, GMG Kastamonuspor 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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