EGS Gafsa 0-3 Club Africain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
12%
6.84
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-12.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.4pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.4pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-2.1pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Africain EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Africain
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Africain Club Africain TUN1A
26.08.2023 Club Africain Club Africain 0-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Club Africain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Africain swept aside EGS Gafsa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Africain as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (68%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Club Africain led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for EGS Gafsa and 0.50 for Club Africain.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Club Africain?

EGS Gafsa 0-3 Club Africain in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Club Africain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Africain win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 29%, draw 30%, Club Africain 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Africain), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Africain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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