28/09/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
KenGold vs Tabora Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
49%
4-5
12%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
36%
Draw
31%
28%
Away Win
34%
63%
Under 2.5
64%
37%
Over 2.5
36%
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
55%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KenGold v Tabora — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KenGold
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tabora
EU Bookmakers 37%
-57% /
-57%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-4%
/
-69%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
331 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
KenGold vs Tabora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KenGold and Tabora couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
What was the final score of KenGold vs Tabora?
KenGold 1-1 Tabora in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KenGold vs Tabora?
Before kick-off our model rated a KenGold win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split KenGold 36%, draw 36%, Tabora 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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