Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

Asteras Tripolis
1-1 HT 1-1
Levadiakos
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
9%
7.61
X/X
13%
3.76
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
6.49
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.41/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.07
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
26.0 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Levadiakos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
348 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.04.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
15.01.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
18.09.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
07.04.2019 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
02.12.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-2 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.04.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-1
AWAY Levadiakos
0.89 xG 1.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
387 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 57% of the ball to Levadiakos's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levadiakos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.50 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 43%, draw 24%, Levadiakos 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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