Wellington Phoenix Res 0-2 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
3.59
Over Pick
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.33
No
45%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-0.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
71%
-16.1pp
45%
BTTS No
29%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 61%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
3.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.49
+150% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastern
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Wellington Phoenix Res Wellington Phoenix Res 3-5 HT 1-4 Eastern Eastern YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res
0-2
AWAY Eastern
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix Res vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern got the better of Wellington Phoenix Res 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix Res had 52% of the ball to Eastern's 48%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix Res vs Eastern?

Wellington Phoenix Res 0-2 Eastern in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix Res vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix Res 25%, draw 19%, Eastern 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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