Changchun Xidu 0-3 Shenzhen 2028 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun Xidu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen 2028 EU Bookmakers 50%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
198 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
8.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun Xidu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen 2028
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.42 xG 0.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
255 Passes 279
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 Shenzhen 2028 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun Xidu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun Xidu
0-3
AWAY Shenzhen 2028
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
356 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 21
POST-MATCH Changchun Xidu vs Shenzhen 2028
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen 2028 ran out comfortable winners over Changchun Xidu 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shenzhen 2028 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Changchun Xidu had 59% of the ball to Shenzhen 2028's 41%, shots finished 4-11.

What was the final score of Changchun Xidu vs Shenzhen 2028?

Changchun Xidu 0-3 Shenzhen 2028 in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun Xidu vs Shenzhen 2028?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shenzhen 2028 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Changchun Xidu 27%, draw 32%, Shenzhen 2028 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen 2028) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen 2028) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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