Livingston 1-2 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Sep 2025

Livingston
1-2 HT 0-1
Rangers
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.05
1/X
5%
16.85
X/1
8%
10.95
X/2
14%
4.12
X/X
11%
5.96
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.95
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.05 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
58%
Away Win
59%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
0.98/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.07
-17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 84%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
14.7 Crosses 21.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Livingston vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rangers
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.28 xG 2.39
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
143 Passes 514
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
12.11.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
27.09.2023 Rangers Rangers 4-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKLK
12.08.2023 Rangers Rangers 4-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
18.02.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
22.10.2022 Rangers Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKP

Livingston 1-2 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-2
AWAY Rangers
0.74 xG 2.38
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
210 Passes 442
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past Livingston 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Livingston had 35% of the ball to Rangers's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.74 to 2.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rangers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Livingston and 2.83 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Rangers?

Livingston 1-2 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Livingston 19%, draw 22%, Rangers 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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