Yverdon 1-0 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
12%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.1pp
12%
Draw
18%
-6.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.92/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.94
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
16.01.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 1-3 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais HAZ
12.06.2021 Yverdon Yverdon 3-3 HT 2-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
30.09.2020 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
1-0
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.01 xG 0.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
471 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yverdon as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yverdon had 62% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Yverdon and 2.33 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Stade Nyonnais?

Yverdon 1-0 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 69%, draw 12%, Stade Nyonnais 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yverdon) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yverdon) ✗ Over 2.5
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