28/09/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Azam vs El Merriekh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
2%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
76%
18%
Draw
18%
11%
Away Win
6%
59%
Under 2.5
48%
41%
Over 2.5
52%
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
68%
BTTS No
68%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Azam v El Merriekh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Azam
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
El Merriekh
EU Bookmakers 8%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+11%
/
-60%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
62%
Ball Possession
38%
15
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
2
395 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
223 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Azam vs El Merriekh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Azam beat El Merriekh 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Azam as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Azam vs El Merriekh?
Azam 2-0 El Merriekh in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Azam vs El Merriekh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Azam win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Azam 70%, draw 18%, El Merriekh 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azam), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Azam)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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28 Sep 2025