Kataller Toyama 1-3 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
11%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 55%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.84/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.51
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +104%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses 12.5
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
333 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-3
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
413 Passes 380
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tokushima Vortis beat Kataller Toyama 3-1 away from home in the Japan - J2 League on 28 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 52% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 48%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Kataller Toyama 1-3 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 25%, draw 24%, Tokushima Vortis 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ BTTS Yes
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