Tiszakecske 1-2 Budafoki MTE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.81
No
63%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.0pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiszakecske EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.38/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.60
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiszakecske
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Budafoki MTE
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-2 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
24.09.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-1 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
04.12.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-1 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
06.03.2022 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-0 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
12.09.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 4-2 HT 2-1 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
POST-MATCH Tiszakecske vs Budafoki MTE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE nicked a narrow win over Tiszakecske 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tiszakecske at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Budafoki MTE led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Tiszakecske and 1.80 for Budafoki MTE.

What was the final score of Tiszakecske vs Budafoki MTE?

Tiszakecske 1-2 Budafoki MTE in the Hungary - NB II on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiszakecske vs Budafoki MTE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiszakecske win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tiszakecske 46%, draw 21%, Budafoki MTE 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tiszakecske) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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