Balatonfüredi 1-3 Pápai Perutz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.3pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balatonfüredi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pápai Perutz EU Bookmakers 38%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Balatonfüredi vs Pápai Perutz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pápai Perutz got the better of Balatonfüredi 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Pápai Perutz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Balatonfüredi vs Pápai Perutz?

Balatonfüredi 1-3 Pápai Perutz in the Hungary - NB III on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balatonfüredi vs Pápai Perutz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balatonfüredi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Balatonfüredi 41%, draw 23%, Pápai Perutz 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Balatonfüredi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balatonfüredi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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