Wadi Degla 1-1 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

Wadi Degla
1-1 HT 0-0
Smouha
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2025/2026

Wadi Degla vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.53
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
13%
7.87
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
+0.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
-0.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.0pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wadi Degla v Smouha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.93/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.02
-40% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.3 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wadi Degla vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Smouha
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.39 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 215
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2021 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
24.12.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-2 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
24.09.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
08.01.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-3 HT 1-1 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
21.12.2015 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
27.12.2014 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 2-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR

Wadi Degla 1-1 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
1-1
AWAY Smouha
1.12 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
233 Passes 175
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla and Smouha couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wadi Degla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 53% of the ball to Smouha's 47%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.12 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wadi Degla and 1.50 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Smouha?

Wadi Degla 1-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 43%, draw 33%, Smouha 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wadi Degla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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