28/09/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Pors Grenland vs Jerv Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.89
— our 49% vs market 44.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
32%
Draw
23%
42%
Away Win
52%
48%
Under 2.5
38%
52%
Over 2.5
62%
68%
BTTS Yes
61%
32%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pors Grenland v Jerv — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pors Grenland
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jerv
EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
1.50/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.99/1.08
+17%
/
+21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
+11%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
349 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
482 · 89%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.6
Pors Grenland vs Jerv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Pors Grenland
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Jerv
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Pors Grenland vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pors Grenland and Jerv shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Jerv at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (68%) came in.
What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Jerv?
Pors Grenland 2-2 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Jerv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 26%, draw 32%, Jerv 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jerv) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Jerv)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
28 Sep 2025