FCSB 1-0 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.72/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.36
+0% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.9 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.65 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
275 Passes 283
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-4 HT 0-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
26.07.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-2 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
03.12.2023 FCSB FCSB 0-2 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
31.10.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROK
29.07.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.04.2015 FCSB FCSB 1-2 HT 0-2 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-0
AWAY Otelul Galati
2.24 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB nicked a narrow win over Otelul Galati 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FCSB had 54% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 46%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.24 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FCSB's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Otelul Galati led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FCSB and 1.33 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Otelul Galati?

FCSB 1-0 Otelul Galati in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FCSB 60%, draw 21%, Otelul Galati 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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