Fakel vs Chayka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fakel v Chayka — Team-Based Signals
Fakel vs Chayka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Chayka
RUS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Fakel
RUS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Fakel
RUS1
Fakel 0-0 Chayka — Actual Match Statistics
Fakel and Chayka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fakel at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fakel had 55% of the ball to Chayka's 45%, shots finished 13-12.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fakel and 1.00 for Chayka.
What was the final score of Fakel vs Chayka?
Fakel 0-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fakel vs Chayka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fakel 63%, draw 23%, Chayka 14%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.