28/09/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Xi Mang Hai Phong vs TTBD Phu Dong Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
33%
Draw
28%
38%
Away Win
45%
53%
Under 2.5
52%
47%
Over 2.5
48%
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
43%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Xi Mang Hai Phong v TTBD Phu Dong — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Xi Mang Hai Phong
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
TTBD Phu Dong
EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-8%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
289 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
–
Xi Mang Hai Phong vs TTBD Phu Dong Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Xi Mang Hai Phong
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
TTBD Phu Dong
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
07.04.2022
TTBD Phu Dong
1-3
Xi Mang Hai Phong
VİETK
1-3
Xi Mang Hai Phong
VİETK
POST-MATCH
Xi Mang Hai Phong vs TTBD Phu Dong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Xi Mang Hai Phong and TTBD Phu Dong couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Xi Mang Hai Phong vs TTBD Phu Dong?
Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-2 TTBD Phu Dong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Xi Mang Hai Phong vs TTBD Phu Dong?
Before kick-off our model rated an TTBD Phu Dong win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Xi Mang Hai Phong 29%, draw 33%, TTBD Phu Dong 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TTBD Phu Dong), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (TTBD Phu Dong)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
VİET
More Vietnam - V-League 1
28 Sep 2025