Fiorentina U20 1-3 Milan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 28 Oct 2024

Fiorentina U20
1-3 HT 0-1
Milan U20
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Primavera Championship – 2024/2025

Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina U20 v Milan U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Fiorentina U20 1-3 Milan U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
1-3
AWAY Milan U20
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 beat Fiorentina U20 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Milan U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 56% of the ball to Milan U20's 44%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-3 Milan U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 40%, draw 24%, Milan U20 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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