Uerdingen 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.68
Over
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uerdingen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 45%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
1.74/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.23
+26% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uerdingen
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-0 HT 1-0 Uerdingen Uerdingen ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Uerdingen Uerdingen 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
26.04.2014 Uerdingen Uerdingen 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Uerdingen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uerdingen and Fortuna Düsseldorf II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Uerdingen and 0.67 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Uerdingen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Uerdingen 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uerdingen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uerdingen 26%, draw 29%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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