Siroki Brijeg 2-3 Borac Banja Luka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.94/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.67
-17% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
208 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-2 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
16.04.2024 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2-1 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
03.04.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-3 HT 0-2 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSK
28.10.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 1-0 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
27.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-2 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
15.04.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-3 HT 1-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2-3
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borac Banja Luka edged past Siroki Brijeg 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Borac Banja Luka as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 40% of the ball to Borac Banja Luka's 60%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borac Banja Luka led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 2.17 for Borac Banja Luka.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?

Siroki Brijeg 2-3 Borac Banja Luka in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 27%, draw 28%, Borac Banja Luka 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka)
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