Swansea City U21 0-1 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.1pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.03/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.92/2.84
-48% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.03.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
05.12.2023 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
19.09.2023 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 GALLK
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 nicked a narrow win over Swansea City U21 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cardiff City U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swansea City U21 and 2.00 for Cardiff City U21.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Swansea City U21 0-1 Cardiff City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 43%, draw 26%, Cardiff City U21 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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