Nairobi City Stars 2-1 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

Nairobi City Stars
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Gor Mahia
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Nairobi City Stars vs Gor Mahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
6.41
Draw
24%
3.64
Away Pick
65%
1.5
Under/Over 2.5
Under
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
1%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Nairobi City Stars v Gor Mahia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nairobi City Stars The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia The Market 66%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
0.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
2.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.57
– Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1

Nairobi City Stars vs Gor Mahia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.12.2021 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 0-2 HT 0-1 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2

Nairobi City Stars 2-1 Gor Mahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi City Stars
2 - 1
AWAY Gor Mahia
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Nairobi City Stars vs Gor Mahia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nairobi City Stars shaded a tight game against Gor Mahia 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Gor Mahia at 65% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Nairobi City Stars's favour, shots finished 12-10.

Nairobi City Stars vs Gor Mahia Result & Final Score

Nairobi City Stars 2 - 1 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nairobi City Stars vs Gor Mahia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 11%, draw 24%, Gor Mahia 65%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →