Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-1 Asyut Petroleum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1-1
AWAY Asyut Petroleum
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Asyut Petroleum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and Asyut Petroleum couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Baladiyyat Al Mehalla at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 50% of the ball to Asyut Petroleum's 50%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Asyut Petroleum?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-1 Asyut Petroleum in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Asyut Petroleum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 50%, draw 27%, Asyut Petroleum 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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