Thun 3-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 28 Oct 2025

Thun
3-0 HT 2-0
Winterthur
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Thun vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-1.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
2.41/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.96
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.0 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Thun vs Winterthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Winterthur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 2-2 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSV2
18.02.2022 Thun Thun 2-4 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
15.10.2021 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
20.08.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 3-0 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
19.04.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Thun Thun İSV2
12.03.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 2-3 HT 0-2 Thun Thun İSV2

Thun 3-0 Winterthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-0
AWAY Winterthur
2.93 xG 0.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thun vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun ran out comfortable winners over Winterthur 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Thun had 42% of the ball to Winterthur's 58%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.93 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thun and 2.33 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Thun vs Winterthur?

Thun 3-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Thun 63%, draw 19%, Winterthur 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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