Macva Sabac 2-0 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
70%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
70%
Away Win
71%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macva Sabac EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.17
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macva Sabac
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.79 xG 3.10
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 5
202 Passes 560
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.04.2021 Macva Sabac Macva Sabac 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
31.10.2020 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 0-0 Macva Sabac Macva Sabac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macva Sabac
2-0
AWAY FK Partizan
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
9 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macva Sabac vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macva Sabac got the better of FK Partizan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. FK Partizan carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Macva Sabac had 31% of the ball to FK Partizan's 69%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macva Sabac and 2.00 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Macva Sabac vs FK Partizan?

Macva Sabac 2-0 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macva Sabac vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Macva Sabac 11%, draw 19%, FK Partizan 70%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Partizan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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