28/10/2025
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Chernihiv vs Lisne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
22%
Draw
15%
21%
Away Win
12%
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
37%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chernihiv v Lisne FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chernihiv
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lisne FC
EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
397 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chernihiv vs Lisne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chernihiv and Lisne FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Chernihiv carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Chernihiv vs Lisne FC?
Chernihiv 1-1 Lisne FC in the Ukraine - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chernihiv vs Lisne FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chernihiv win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chernihiv 56%, draw 22%, Lisne FC 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chernihiv), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Chernihiv)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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28 Oct 2025