Sofapaka 0-1 Muranga All Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.13
No
67%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+9.2pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-9.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.8pp
67%
BTTS No
57%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 27%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.96
-100% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Muranga All Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.10.2023 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
0-1
AWAY Muranga All Stars
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Muranga All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars squeezed past Sofapaka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 36% / 23%) promised a tight game; Muranga All Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sofapaka had 65% of the ball to Muranga All Stars's 35%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Muranga All Stars?

Sofapaka 0-1 Muranga All Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Muranga All Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 41%, draw 36%, Muranga All Stars 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sofapaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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