MC Alger 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.1
X/1
13%
5.37
X/2
8%
5.69
X/X
11%
3.81
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
18%
4.32
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 1/X at 14.1 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
0-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.56 xG 0.30
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
199 Passes 487
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger and Mamelodi Sundowns fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, MC Alger had 34% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 66%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.56 to 0.30.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

MC Alger 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 37%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MC Alger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MC Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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