Olympic Safi 0-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Safi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 31%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.02
+120% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Safi
0-1
AWAY USM Alger
0.30 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
111 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olympic Safi vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past Olympic Safi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Olympic Safi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Olympic Safi had 45% of the ball to USM Alger's 55%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Olympic Safi vs USM Alger?

Olympic Safi 0-1 USM Alger in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Safi vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympic Safi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olympic Safi 48%, draw 27%, USM Alger 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olympic Safi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympic Safi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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