Polonya (K) 1-0 Slovenya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Nov 2025

Polonya (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Slovenya (K)
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Polonya (K) vs Slovenya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.1pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya (K) v Slovenya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Polonya (K) 1-0 Slovenya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
1-0
AWAY Slovenya (K)
0.90 xG 1.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
297 Passes 245
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Slovenya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) nicked a narrow win over Slovenya (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 56% of the ball to Slovenya (K)'s 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Polonya (K) 1-0 Slovenya (K) in the Friendlies on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 63%, draw 19%, Slovenya (K) 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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