Vukovar 2-2 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 28 Nov 2025

Vukovar
2-2 HT 0-1
Osijek
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

Vukovar vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vukovar v Osijek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.07/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.27
+21% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.7 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Vukovar vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Osijek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.99 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
307 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Osijek Osijek 4-0 HT 2-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR

Vukovar 2-2 Osijek — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
2-2
AWAY Osijek
0.77 xG 2.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
235 Passes 231
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar and Osijek couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vukovar had 50% of the ball to Osijek's 50%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.77 to 2.45.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Osijek?

Vukovar 2-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 34%, draw 26%, Osijek 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Under 2.5
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