Diriyah 5-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒15:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.0pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriyah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 15%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.98/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.96
+7% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Diriyah vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriyah swept aside Arabi 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriyah as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Diriyah vs Arabi?

Diriyah 5-1 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriyah vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Diriyah 60%, draw 20%, Arabi 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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