Bayelsa United 0-1 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Dec 2024

Bayelsa United
0-1 HT 0-1
Abia Warriors
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bayelsa United vs Abia Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.3pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Abia Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.58/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.68
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.5

Bayelsa United vs Abia Warriors Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Abia Warriors
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-2 HT 0-0 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors edged past Bayelsa United 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Bayelsa United carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Abia Warriors?

Bayelsa United 0-1 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 58%, draw 25%, Abia Warriors 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bayelsa United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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