28/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
Black Stars vs Simba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Draw
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
33%
Draw
29%
33%
Away Win
48%
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
50%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Black Stars v Simba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Black Stars
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Simba
EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-20% /
-20%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+30%
/
-48%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Black Stars vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Simba edged past Black Stars 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Simba found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Black Stars vs Simba?
Black Stars 0-1 Simba in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Black Stars vs Simba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Black Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Black Stars 33%, draw 33%, Simba 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
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28 Dec 2024