Al Nasr 2-2 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
8%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.00/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.89
-22% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +73%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
16.5 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Ain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
315 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
05.12.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
21.01.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
07.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-3 HT 0-3 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
12.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
19.10.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr and Al Ain shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Nasr and 1.83 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Ain?

Al Nasr 2-2 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 27%, draw 20%, Al Ain 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
28 Dec 2025
15:50 Al Wahda vs Khorfakkan Analysis →
15:50 Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Wasl Dubai Analysis →