Metro Gallery 5-0 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
79%
-13.5pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.5pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metro Gallery EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
4.47/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/3.16
+39% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metro Gallery
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
28.11.2021 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 3-1 HT 0-0 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metro Gallery
5-0
AWAY Sham Shui Po
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Metro Gallery vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metro Gallery swept aside Sham Shui Po 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metro Gallery as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Metro Gallery had 48% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 52%, shots finished 16-15.

What was the final score of Metro Gallery vs Sham Shui Po?

Metro Gallery 5-0 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metro Gallery vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metro Gallery win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Metro Gallery 66%, draw 18%, Sham Shui Po 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metro Gallery), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metro Gallery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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