Paços De Ferreira 0-0 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Dec 2025

Paços De Ferreira
0-0 HT 0-0
Farense
📅28/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Paços De Ferreira vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.41/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.99
+24% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.6 Crosses 21.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paços De Ferreira vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Farense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.04.2021 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-2 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
27.12.2020 Farense Farense 1-1 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
10.02.2002 Farense Farense 1-1 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
16.09.2001 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR
29.04.2001 Farense Farense 2-4 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR
03.12.2000 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR

Paços De Ferreira 0-0 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0-0
AWAY Farense
1.28 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
279 Passes 233
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira and Farense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Farense at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 51% of the ball to Farense's 49%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.33 for Farense.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Farense?

Paços De Ferreira 0-0 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 26%, draw 25%, Farense 49%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✗ Over 2.5
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