Chelmsford City 1-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Jan 2024

Chelmsford City
1-1 HT 1-0
Weston-super-Mare
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelmsford City v Weston-super-Mare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.48/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.86
-6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-3 HT 0-3 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City and Weston-super-Mare shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare?

Chelmsford City 1-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 39%, draw 29%, Weston-super-Mare 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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